The Singularity Is Almost Here
The other day there was once again an astonishing piece of news. It slipped a bit under the radar, so here it is:
TestingCatalog report on Anthropic's Mythos model
There are enough different reports about it, even a site that contains the message that was temporarily visible on the web, which seems plausible. So it appears to be this way: internally, Anthropic already has a new model "Mythos" that clearly outshines Opus 4.6.
So let us assume for a moment that this is true, that "Mythos" is what Anthropic describes.
And let us separate what is important from what is unimportant (for the singularity):
Important:
- the model is much stronger at developing software than Opus 4.6 (which itself is stronger than 4.5, and incomparably stronger than the barely one-year-old Opus 4.1)
Unimportant:
- the model must be thoroughly tested because it might be used for cyberattacks.
- the model is extremely computationally intensive and therefore expensive.
What Matters for the Singularity, and What Does Not
The only thing that matters is this: Mythos will accelerate Anthropic's efforts to build the successor to Mythos, to accelerate the exponential growth toward the singularity. That this will be expensive: so be it. That they may perhaps not release the model to customers for a few weeks (months?): so be it. It does not matter when it comes to creating an AI developer (or rather many thousands of AI developers) who works internally in Anthropic's development department around the clock on the next model.
I wonder whether OpenAI is secretly working on a similar project. Thought experiment: if I, as OpenAI, like Anthropic's Mythos, had an extremely computationally intensive but extremely smart model available internally in order to significantly accelerate myself once again on the path to the singularity, what would I do to win the competition? Exactly, shut down Sora in order to have computing capacity.
The Singularity Is Almost Here
In that sense: my prediction “the singularity will come in 2029” was probably too far in the future. I am now guessing 2027, yes, next year.